Thursday, January 1, 2009

Ranging Price action


Now this is where the chart can become interesting. By using the price action counting of the swing highs and lows we can know at a very early stage IF price is going to start to develop range bound activity.

  • Price is not making new highs OR new lows

I don't mean all time highs/lows or new day/week/month highs/lows... just simply a new chart swing high or low. Price will start to stall and not make a new swing high/low and typically will stay contained within the last swing high and low that was made on the chart. Isn't that a simple definition?

Range rule definitions

  • Price doesn't make a new high or low on the move
  • If price stays contained within the last swing high and swing low to be made, price will remain range bound until it makes news move highs or lows.
  • Price confirms the range when a lower high and a higher low is made within the previous swing high and low.

In the chart below you can see that from the left side of the chart price is making LH's & LL's all the way to the first blue arrow which in real time would be the latest lowest low. Price then moves higher to make a HH. These two swing levels have been highlighted.

At the point of the chart, in real time, price needs to either start moving higher past the last swing high (red Arrow) making a new high OR move lower past the last swing low (blue arrow) making a new low. Until either of those things happens price will most likely remain range bound. In this example that is what happened.

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