Wednesday, January 7, 2009
Technical Analysis:
Thursday, January 1, 2009
Discretionary Trading vs. System Trading
There are two main types of traders in the financial markets…discretionary traders and system traders. A discretionary trader will apply any approach that they see fit for the current market conditions while a system trader will use a defined set of rules to identify trading opportunities. I think new traders should learn as much as possible about fundamental and technical analysis, but should be thinking about developing a set of rules to determine when to trade.
The advantage of system trading over discretionary trading is that emotions do not have the same influence over the decisions that systems traders make, since the rules for entry and exit are clear. Discretionary traders will react to the current market conditions, but may rarely react the same for two trades in a row, increasing the chance of poor decisions by the less experienced traders. Also, the systems trader can go back to see if the rules they intend to use in their trading decisions are good enough to result in profitable trading over a series of trades. If it does, then the systems trader just has to make sure that they take the trades that their system identifies and make sure that they execute according to the rules. This can lead to consistent results and make it easier to take trades even after a few losses in a row. After all, you have historical results to back up your trading decisions. I think that the rules should cover at least a few key points to include these:
1. Determine whether you are looking for a buy or a sell.
2. Find your entry.
3. Identify your initial risk.
4. Find your exit.
In the FX Power Courses, we recommend trading in the direction of the trend on the daily chart and to use a risk:reward ratio of at least 1:2 on your trades. If you are risking 50 pips on a trade, then look for at least 100 pips in profit. This way, you only have to win about 40% of your trades to be profitable. But I think that if a trader uses the daily chart to identify the trend and then moves down to the 4-hour or hourly chart to find their entry and exit, a 50% win ratio of attainable. If you win more when you are right than you lose when you are wrong, this can lead to consistently profitable results. Next week we will take a look at different ways to identify the direction of the trend.
Monday, December 29, 2008
Forex Value Dates
All Forex quotes are typically based on settlement business days after the transaction was executed (the one major exception being the USD/Canadian Dollar which settles after one business day).
Theoretically a currency trader will take physical delivery of the currency in two days; however, delivery is avoided by rolling the positions forward one day, usually referred to as Tomorrow Next Day (Tom Next) procedures. The newly opened position is assigned a new value date allowing the client to hold this position another day without taking delivery of the currency. The Tom Next rate is determined by the respective difference in interest rates between the two currencies held. If a trader is long a high interest currency and short a low interest currency he will earn interest for one day. If a trader is holding the foreign currency with the lower rate of interest he will pay interest. These payments are received during the establishment of the new opening rate, in the form of a slightly better or worse price after the roll (swap) has taken place.
During the roll procedure all open positions are closed at the current market rate, and any unrealized profits or losses are realized. This new rate is determined by the price the position was closed out at plus or minus the Tom Next rate. If a trader is flat e.g. long €2 million EUR/USD and short €2 million EUR/USD it is not necessary to roll positions.
Wednesday, February 27, 2008
Refer a Client To ForexGen
If you have any friends who trade in the Forex market, and may be interested in joining. ForexGen.com, why not get a FREE cash bonus from their trading activities? The referring party will receive $100 USD to their ForexGen account, at the end of the month in which the following criteria are met:
1. The referred party has opened a live standard account of at least $2,500 USD and has traded 20 round turn lots.
2. The referred party has opened a live mini account of at least $250 USD and trades 20 round turn lot, the referring party receives $10 to their ForexGen account.
For more information about our current and future promotions, kindly contact one of our customers support agents at promotions@forexgen.com This e-mail address is being protected from spam bots, you need JavaScript enabled to view it, or you can talk with one of our representatives on the live chat.
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